Geopolitics Decanted by Silverado

The War of Attrition: Analysis of the war in Ukraine (June 19, 2022)

Episode Summary

June 19, 2022: Dmitri Alperovitch talks with Michael Kofman (Research Program Director in the Russia Studies Program at the Center for Naval Analysis) about the new developments in the war in Ukraine on Twitter Spaces. Topics covered: - Near-term prospects for Ukrainian counteroffensive in the south to take back Kherson - Will the new Western artillery systems arrive in time to make a difference for the current fight in Donbas - Why is maintenance the biggest issue for Ukrainian deliveries of new Western weapons - How fast can the Ukrainian ports be demined to allow for sea export of grain and oilseeds - Why haven't we heard more about the impact of Switchblade kamikaze drones that everyone was so excited about just weeks ago - What is the state of exhaustion/force rotations on Russian and Ukrainian sides - What's happening on Snake Island right now - Does Russia have the troops to make trouble for Moldova or Ukraine from Transnistria - Is Russia running out of Infantry Fighting Vehicles and artillery shells - Is a ceasefire likely in the near future - What are the lessons learned from this war for the US military

Episode Notes

June 19, 2022: Dmitri Alperovitch talks with Michael Kofman (Research Program Director in the Russia Studies Program at the Center for Naval Analysis) about the new developments in the war in Ukraine on Twitter Spaces. Topics covered:

- Near-term prospects for Ukrainian counteroffensive in the south to take back Kherson

- Will the new Western artillery systems arrive in time to make a difference for the current fight in Donbas

- Why is maintenance the biggest issue for Ukrainian deliveries of new Western weapons

- How fast can the Ukrainian ports be demined to allow for sea export of grain and oilseeds

- Why haven't we heard more about the impact of Switchblade kamikaze drones that everyone was so excited about just weeks ago

- What is the state of exhaustion/force rotations on Russian and Ukrainian sides

- What's happening on Snake Island right now

- Does Russia have the troops to make trouble for Moldova or Ukraine from Transnistria

- Is Russia running out of Infantry Fighting Vehicles and artillery shells

- Is a ceasefire likely in the near future

- What are the lessons learned from this war for the US military

Follow the speakers on Twitter: @DAlperovitch and @KofmanMichael